All SportPesa’s Football Prices For This Weekend Can be Found Here
Derby County to beat Swansea and BTTS @ 3/1
As opening weeks of the season go, Derby (5/4) could not have wished for a better one. Three points in their season opener at Huddersfield on Monday was quickly followed by news of Wayne Rooney’s move to Pride Park on an 18-month contract starting from January. A home win against Swansea (23/10) on Saturday would cap a great week, but the Welsh side will have something to say on the matter.
Swans manager Steve Cooper saw his side get off to a winning start themselves coming from a goal down to Hull City to win thanks to two goals in as many minutes at the Liberty Stadium. Having won their openers by the same 2-1 score, SportPesa are offering odds of 31/4 for Derby to win by that same score this weekend while the Swans are 10/1 to win 2-1. The last three meetings between the two sides have seen both teams score with Derby winning 2-1 twice and the other ending in a 1-1 draw.
Monday night’s win at Huddersfield will have gone some way to easing the pain of losing last season’s play-off final at Wembley. Tom Lawrence led the Rams to victory at the John Smith’s Stadium with two goals and he is a very generous 9/1 to open the scoring this time and he is 3/1 to score anytime. For Swansea, Borja Baston, who drew his side level against Hull City last weekend, is 13/2 to open the scoring and 11/5 to be an anytime scorer.
BTTS: Middlesbrough v Brentford, Cardiff v Luton, Southend v Blackpool
Middlesbrough (7/5) supporters were critical of the way their side played under former manager Tony Pulis last season with what they thought was a negative approach to games. Of the 46 league games they played, only 14 saw three or more total goals scored. Pulis has since been replaced by former player Jonathan Woodgate whose first game in charge was a thrilling 3-3 draw at newly promoted Luton to kick off the EFL season last Friday night.
It was the first time since February 2018 that Boro were involved in a game with six goals or more when they drew 3-3 at Sunderland. Brentford (39/20) began life without star striker Neal Maupay, who they sold to Brighton for £20m in the summer, with a 1-0 home defeat to Birmingham. But the last four meetings between the two sides has seen both teams score. Boro are 33/10 to win with both teams finding the back of the net while their opponents are 17/4 to pick up the three points with goals for both clubs.
In the corresponding fixture last season, Brentford came from a goal down to win 2-1 after Ashley Fletcher gave Boro a sixth-minute lead. Fletcher scored the first goal in this season’s Championship against Luton and is 13/2 to be the first scorer at the Riverside this weekend and 21/10 to be an anytime scorer. Marcus Forss leads the market for the Bees at 15/2 to be first scorer and 5/2 anytime scorer.
Cardiff (20/23) and Luton (33/10) were involved in two of the highest-scoring games on the opening weekend of the EFL season. Luton’s 3-3 draw with Middlesbrough earned the newly-promoted side their first point and the following day, Neil Warnock’s Cardiff, relegated from the Premier League last season, led 1-0 at Wigan but lost 3-2. If the opening weekend is anything to go by, both Cardiff and Luton need to find a way of shoring up their defences.
Cardiff to win with both teams scoring is trading at 53/20 while Luton are 13/2 with the Hatters to win and both teams finding the net. A score draw is available at 16/5 while a draw of any kind is on the market at 49/20. Gary Madine is 5/1 to open the scoring and 8/5 to score anytime. James Collins, who scored 25 goals for the Hatters in their promotion-winning season, opened his account against Middlesbrough last Friday and he is a very generous 7/1 to be first scorer and 9/4 to be anytime scorer.
In League One, Blackpool (29/20) travel to Southend (37/20) hoping to start the season with back-to-back wins. Simon Grayson’s side got their season off to a winning start last weekend with a 2-0 win at home to Bristol Rovers while the Shrimpers lost 1-0 at Coventry. In the last four league meetings over the last two seasons, both Blackpool and Southend have found the net.
At Roots Hall in November last year, Jason Demetriou’s goal 16 minutes from time cancelled out Oliver Turton’s 14th-minute goal. Armand Gnanduillet scored the winner for the Tangerines three minutes before Michael Turner was sent off for the home side. Southend are 19/4 to win with goals for both sides while the visitors are 15/4 to win with goals for both them and Blackpool.
2.5+ Goals: Hull v Reading, Burton v Gillingham, Rochdale v Doncaster
Hull City (11/10) went 11 games scoring at least two goals at the KCOM Stadium last season so there is a good possibility they find the net at least twice against a Reading (13/5) side that were beaten 3-1 on their last visit to East Yorkshire. In fact, both meetings last term saw over 2.5 goals total scored.
The good news for Tigers supporters is that their Jarrod Bowen and Kamil Grosicki are still at the club after combining for 31 goals last season. Depending on which reports you read, Grosicki gave Grant McCann’s side an early lead at Swansea before conceding two goals in two minutes to lose their season opener.
Reading were beaten 3-1 at home to Sheffield Wednesday who had their goalkeeper Kieren Westwood sent off 10 minutes from time with the Royals trailing 2-1. Instead of finding an equaliser against the 10-men, Reading conceded a third goal in the last minute. Hull City are 2/1 with SportPesa to beat Reading with three or more goals scored in the fixture while the visitors are 9/2 to win with over 2.5 goals scored at the KCOM. A draw with over 2.5 goals is trading at 39/4.
Gillingham (19/10) and Burton (7/5) have certainly entertained the fans in their last six league meetings with a total of 25 goals scored at an average of 4.16 a game. At the Priestfield Stadium 12 months ago, Liam Boyce gave Burton the lead midway through the first half before Tom Eaves levelled 10 minutes before the break. Luke O’Neill gave the Gills the lead six minutes into the second half before Eaves’ second secured a 3-1 win for the home side. Gillingham are 15/4 to win with over 2.5 goals total scored in the game while Albion are 53/20 to win a high-scoring game. Both teams to score with over 2.5 goals is trading at 21/2.
The two meetings between Rochdale (2/1) and Doncaster (13/10) last season produced 10 goals with seven of them going the way of Doncaster. In the corresponding fixture last October, four of the five goals came in the second half with Jermaine Anderson scoring the winning goal. SportPesa are offering odds of 47/20 for Doncaster to win and over 2.5 total goals scored while the Spotland side are 7/2 to follow up last week’s 3-2 win at Tranmere with victory and at least three goals scored. The last time there was a 0-0 between the two sides was 58 games ago in the 1968/69 season. A goalless draw this time is available at 9/1.