Domestic football returns after the second international break of the season. Liverpool, West Brom, Ipswich and Crewe start the weekend top of their respective leagues, but will they be able to solidify their position at the top of the tables? Charlie Mullan picks out some fixtures that might be worth considering for your BTTS and over 2.5 goal ACCAs this weekend.
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Charlie’s Choice: Bradford v Crawley BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals
Crawley’s trip to Bradford (20/27) jumps out as being a contender for game of the weekend. It has all the ingredients to be included in a BTTS accumulator as well as an over 2.5 goals Acca. BTTS has landed in the last five League One games both Bradford and Crawley (7/2) have played in. Four of those five games involving the Bantams have also seen over 2.5 goals scored including last weekend’s 2-1 win at Morecambe.
Crawley beat Colchester by the same score last weekend which was the fifth successive league game in which a minimum of three total goals were scored. SportPesa are offering odds of 23/20 for both Bradford and Crawley to score and over 2.5 total goals scored also. Bradford, who are unbeaten in their last four league games, are 31/20 to win with a minimum of three total goals scored while City are 47/20 to win with BTTS landing. Crawley, who have not won their last three away games in the league, are 25/4 to win with at least three goals scored and they are also 27/4 to win with goals for both them and their hosts.
BTTS: Bournemouth v Norwich, Luton v Bristol City, Colchester v Morecambe
Bournemouth (20/27) and Norwich (33/10) have already played each other this season when the Cherries knocked the Canaries out of the EFL Cup at the Vitality Stadium. Steve Cook scored the crucial goal 18 minutes from time to secure a 2-1 win. Bournemouth’s 1-0 loss at Arsenal prior to the international break was their first Premier League game this campaign in which BTTS has not landed.
This will be Bournemouth’s fifth home game and the previous four have all seen goals for Eddie Howe’s side and their opponents. Norwich are no strangers to games where there have been goals for both them and their opponents. Look no further than their last game when they lost 5-1 at home to Aston Villa in a battle of the newly-promoted sides. It was the fifth game in which BTTS landed in games involving Daniel Farke’s side who are 19/4 to win this game on the south coast with goals for both teams.
Luton (31/20) host Bristol City (33/20) at Kenilworth Road with the Hatters looking to be the first team to beat City in the Championship since their 3-1 opening day loss to Leeds. Luton are one of two teams in the league yet to keep a clean sheet with QPR being the other while City are yet to keep a clean sheet on their travels after drawing 1-1 at Brentford in their last away game.
These two sides last met in the League Cup during the 2015/16 season which the Hatters won 3-1 with Jack Marriott scoring twice. That was the seventh time in the last eight meetings in which both Luton and City have scored against each other. To win the game and goals for both teams, Luton are 16/5 with SportPesa while Britol City are 3/1. Bristol City have been involved in four score draws this season while both Luton’s draws have been score draw. A score draw is trading at 3/1.
Morecambe (19/4) travel to Colchester (5/9) looking to keep their first clean sheet in their last nine League Two games. The last time Morecambe nilled a team was when they won 1-0 at Macclesfield, which was their second successive shutout. That win against the Silkmen was the last time the Shrimps won a game and is why they go into this fixture 24th in League Two.
Colchester are currently eighth after seeing their four-game unbeaten run come to an end with a 2-1 defeat at Crawley last weekend. That was the U’s fourth game in a row in which BTTS landed while Morecambe’s 2-1 loss at home to Bradford was the fourth consecutive game in which there were goals for them and their opposition. SportPesa are offering odds of 12/5 for Colchester to win this game with goals for them and Morecambe who are 37/4 to win with BTTS landing.
Over 2.5 goals: Tottenham v Watford, Rotherham v Oxford, Northampton v Salford
When Manchester City suffered the humiliation of losing 3-2 at Norwich, Watford were the team City took their frustrations out on in their next game in the Premier League. Before the international break, Tottenham’s humiliation was much greater than that experienced by the defending champions when they lost 7-2 at home to Bayern Munich and followed that up with a shocking 3-0 loss at Brighton.
Watford may feel the brunt of Spurs’ frustrations this weekend as Mauricio Pochettino goes about restoring pride within his squad. The Hornets head to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium bottom of the table, three points adrift of Norwich who are 19th. This could be the ideal game for Spurs (5/12) to get back to winning ways given their record against Watford. The Hornets last beat Spurs in north London back on May 11, 1985. Since that 5-1 win, it’s been almost 35 years of hurt for Watford (25/4) with nine straight league losses.
The two sides met three times last season with three or more goals scored in each of them. All but two of Tottenham’s 11 games played in all competitions this season have seen a minimum of three goals scored including their last four in the Premier League. Watford have not scored in their last three league games but having seen Spurs concede 10 goals in their last two games, they will be optimistic of ending their goal drought.
Spurs are 10/11 with SportPesa to win this game and over 2.5 total goals scored, while Watford are 10/1 win their first game of the season with a minimum three total goals scored. Harry Kane, who scored England’s sixth goal in Bulgaria on Monday night, is 12/5 to open the scoring and 5/8 to be an anytime scorer for Tottenham. For Watford, Gerald Deulofeu leads the market at 9/1 to be first scorer and 5/2 to score any time.
Goals continue to follow Oxford (2/1) wherever they play this season and that could be the case when they travel to Rotherham (5/4). Oxford’s 3-0 win at home to Doncaster last time out was the 10th time in their last 11 League One games in which a minimum of three goals had been scored and that includes their last four, and at the other end, Oxford’s defence has kept clean sheets in five of their last six games and the U’s are 3/1 to maintain their impressive defensive record. However, Rotherham scored four in their last home game when they beat Coventry to nil and they are 6/4 to register a clean sheet.
Last weekend, Rotherham made it back-to-back wins with a 2-1 win at Blackpool which increases the possibility of over 2.5 goals being scored in this fixture. The Millers are 11/5 to claim all three points with over 2.5 total goals scored while Oxford are 7/2 to win the game with at least three total goals scored. Another reason to think there will be goals in this fixtures is the history between the two sides. The last six encounters, which have produced a total 26 goals, have seen a minimum of three goals scored.
There is no such history between Northampton (23/20) and Salford (47/20) because this will be the first ever competitive meeting between the two sides and there is a very good chance of three or more goals. Three of Northampton’s last four League Two games have seen a total of three or more goals scored and three of Salford’s last four matches have produced over 2.5 total goals.
Keith Curle’s Northampton side need the win more to move them away from the bottom end of League Two. Their plight was not helped by last weekend’s 3-0 loss at fellow strugglers Scunthorpe. Last weekend, Salford won successive games for the first time this season when they beat Cambridge 1-0 at home. Both teams to score and over 2.5 total goals is available at 11/10 while the Saints are 11/5 to beat Salford with at least three total goals scored. Salford are 17/4 to win the game with three or more total goals scored at Sixfields Stadium.
A £5 bet on the BTTS Acca has potential returns of £22.62
A £5 bet on over 2.5 goals Acca has potential returns of £26.72