This weekend’s fixtures in the Premier League sees Manchester City host Southampton for the second time in five days after Pep Guardiola’s side ran out 3-1 winners to book a place in the Carabao Cup quarter-finals on Tuesday night. The draw for the quarter-finals saw Liverpool drawn against Aston Villa at Villa Park which is causing Jurgen Klopp concern as to when the tie will be played. Liverpool at Villa is one of the fixtures taking place this weekend in the league. Charlie Mullan highlights some of the games that should be considered when Accas are put together this weekend.
All SportPesa’s Football Odds Can be Found Here
BTTS and over 2.5 goals between Aston Villa and Liverpool @ 21/20
Aston Villa’s 3-0 defeat at Manchester City last weekend was Villa’s fifth successive Premier League game in which at least three total goals were scored. Unfortunately for Villa, they were all scored in their net, but Dean Smith’s men bounced back in style by beating Wolves 2-1 on Wednesday night to reach the quarter-finals of the Carabao Cup. Their reward for beating their Midlands rivals is a clash with Liverpool who they play at home this weekend in the league.
Liverpool started the season in style beating four of their first five opponents by two goals or more. However, in the Reds’ last five league games, Jurgen Klopp’s side have not managed to win a league game by more than a single-goal margin but this will be seen as a game in which Liverpool can win with goals to spare. If you want goals, the last three meetings have produced a total of 14 goals with Liverpool netting 10 of them. Villa’s last seven games in all competitions have seen at least three total goals while Liverpool’s remarkable 5-5 draw with Arsenal in the Carabao Cup on Wednesday was the fifth time in their last six games in which over 2.5 total goals were scored.
Liverpool’s last six games have produced a total of 30 goals and there could be more to come in this fixture. The Reds have scored two or more goals in eight of their 10 league games this season while Villa’s last five league games have seen 21 goals scored. BTTS has landed in six of the last seven games Villa (29/4) have played and it has also occurred in the last six games Liverpool (5/14) have played. SportPesa are offering generous odds of 21/20 for both Villa and Liverpool to score and over 2.5 total goals.
BTTS: Arsenal v Wolves, Bradford v Exeter, Crewe v Port Vale
Both Arsenal (4/5) and Wolves (7/2) were knocked out of the Carabao Cup in midweek and will want to put those disappointments behind them by picking up three valuable league points at the Emirates. Wolves have drawn their last two visits to Arsenal 1-1 including last season’s meeting where Henrikh Mkhitaryan’s goal four minutes from time cancelled out Ivan Cavaleiro’s 13th minute opener.
Wednesday’s 2-1 Carabao Cup loss at Aston Villa was the fourth successive game involving Wolves that BTTS has landed while Arsenal’s elimination from the competition on penalties following a remarkable 5-5 draw at Anfield was the Gunners’ third consecutive game in which there were goals for both them and their opponents. In their last three games, Arsenal have outscored their opponents 10-9. Arsenal to win with both the Gunners and Wolves scoring is trading with SportPesa at 11/5 while the visitors to the Emirates are 25/4 to win with BTTS landing.
Bradford and Exeter meet in what could be one of the best games of the day in League Two. Bradford go into the meeting sixth but can go above their second-placed opponents with a win at the Northern Commercials Stadium. The Bantams last eight games in all competitions, which includes their last seven in the league, have seen goals for both Bradford and their opponents. Five of Exeter’s last six league games away from St James’ Park have seen BTTS land including their 3-1 defeat at struggling Scunthorpe in their last away game.
One of the more frequent scorelines in football is a 2-1 win and that has certainly been the case for Bradford. Five of their last six games have ended with that exact score with the Bantams winning three of them and losing two. Exeter have yet to be involved in a 2-1 result and they are 21/2 to win this game by that exact score while the home side are 8/1 to once again win a game 2-1. Bradford are also 33/10 to win this game with goals for both them and Exeter who are 5/1 to win with BTTS landing. A score draw is on the market at 3/1.
Crewe’s 0-0 draw at home to Colchester on October 22 brought an end to Alexandra’s run of seven successive games in which there were goals for both them and the team they were playing. It’s only a matter of time before Crewe (10/11) go back to being involved in games where BTTS land and it could well be this weekend as they face a Port Vale team who themselves had a run of six straight BTTS games come to an end with a 0-0 draw at home to Oldham last weekend. Of the 19 games Vale have played this season, 74 per cent of them have seen goals for both teams with Crewe having the same percentage over the same number of games. Crewe to win and BTTS landing is on the market at 11/4 while Vale are 6/1 to win with goals for both them and their hosts. A score draw is trading at 33/10.
2.5 goals: Man City v Southampton, Brentford v Huddersfield, Portsmouth v Oxford
Manchester City (2/25) have scored a total of 11 goals in their last three games while Southampton (29/1) have conceded a total of 12 goals in their last two matches. That doesn’t mean goals are guaranteed for this fixture, but it’s fair to say there is a very good chance spectators going to the Etihad will be treated to goals. The two sides met as recently as Tuesday night in the Carabao Cup when City won 3-1 to set up a quarter-final at Oxford in the quarter-finals. It was the third successive meeting between the two sides in which there were three or more total goals scored.
It also maintained City average of scoring over three goals a game. In the corresponding fixture last season, City took the three points after a resounding 6-1 win. Both teams to score and over 2.5 total goals to be scored is available at a 27/20 while City are 5/19 to win with over 2.5 total goals scored. Southampton are 49/1 to win and over 2.5 total goals scored. Sergio Aguero, who scored twice against the Saints on Tuesday night, is 11/5 to open the scoring at the Etihad and the Argentinian is 20/49 to be an anytime scorer. For Southampton, Danny Ings is 11/1 to give the Saints a 1-0 lead and the forward is 3/1 to score anytime during the game.
Huddersfield’s decision to lure Danny Cowley away from Lincoln is turning out to be a very shrewd move as recent results will show. After losing his first two games in charge, the Terriers are unbeaten in their last six Championship games to lift Town to 20th in the Championship table. Last weekend’s 2-1 win at home to Barnsley was the third time in their last four games in which three or more goals were scored. Cowley has found a way to get goals from his new players who managed just five goals in their first seven league games. In their last seven Championship fixtures, they have scored 11.
On Saturday, they travel to face a Brentford side whose last three games have seen over 2.5 total goals scored. The Bees have scored exactly three goals in those three games and they are 15/4 to score exactly three goals against Huddersfield. SportPesa are offering odds of 31/20 for goals for both Brentford and Huddersfield and over 2.5 total goals scored. The home side are 27/20 to win and over 2.5 total goals scored while Huddersfield are 21/2 to win with three or more total goals scored.
Nobody can accuse Oxford United of cheating their supporters in terms of value for money this season. In all but two of their 15 league games the U’s have played this season, a total of three or more total goals have been scored. Their 3-0 win at home to Rochdale last weekend was the sixth time in the league this season Oxford scored three or more goals. Their last six league games have produced a total of 22 goals with Oxford scoring 19 of them. This weekend, Oxford (37/20) travel to Portsmouth (7/5) whose last game ended in a 2-2 draw.
This fixtures over the years have a habit of producing plenty of goals. They last five meeting have seen a total of four, three, five, three and three total goals. The two sides met earlier this season in the Football League Trophy and the tie ended in a 2-2 draw with Portsmouth winning on penalties. Over 2.5 total goals is available at 10/11 while BTTS and over 2.5 total goals is on the market at 23/20. The home side are 27/10 to win and over 2.5 total goals scored while Oxford are 7/2 to win their fourth game in a row and over 2.5 total goals scored.
A £5 bet on the BTTS Acca has potential returns of £28.29
A £5 bet on the over 2.5 goals Acca has potential returns of £32.13