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Midweek Football Preview As Champions League Returns

Midweek Football Preview as Champions League Returns

As the Coronavirus plays havoc with the sporting fixtures, the latest matches in the Champions League are scheduled to go ahead as planned. Although, Paris St-Germain’s Round of 16, second leg in the French capital will be played behind closed doors. Elsewhere, there are games in the Europa League, Premier League, League One and League Two in what is another busy week of football. Charlie Mullan has analysed all the games and done the homework for you.


BTTS: Paris St Germain v B Dortmund, Blackpool v Tranmere, Sevilla v Roma, 

Borussia Dortmund (16/5) travel to Paris with the advantage of winning the first leg of their tie with Paris St-Germain (10/13) 2-1 three weeks ago. With two of the highest scoring teams in Europe, it was surprising that we had to wait until the 69th minute for the first goal in the first meeting in Germany. Erling Braut Haaland enhanced his growing reputation with the opener. PSG’s response was rapid with Neymar equalising seven minutes later which could prove to turn out to be a crucial away goal. A 1-1 draw would have been a great result for the French side, but they were victims of conceding a goal straight after scoring one when Haaland restored Dortmund’s lead. PSG know a 1-0 win will be enough to see them through to the quarter-finals, but with so many talented attackers on the pitch, there is a good chance this fixture will see more than one goal scored.

In their last game on Wednesday, PSG’s French Cup win at Lyon produced a total of six goals as the runaway Ligue 1 leaders won 5-1. It brought the total number of goals scored in PSG’s last nine league and cup games to 49 at an average of 5.4 goals per game. Dortmund’s last 10 games in all competitions have produced a total of 44 goals and that includes their 2-1 win at Borussia Munchengladbach in the league on Saturday. Both teams to score in this tie is trading at 20/51 while a score draw is available at 29/10. The home side are 27/20 to with at least one goal for Dortmund who are 4/1 to win with BTTS paying out. The home side are 20/23 to progress from this tie either in normal time, extra-time or after penalties while Dortmund are 10/11 to progress. 

In League One, Blackpool (2/3) face a Tranmere (4/1) side fighting for their lives at the wrong end of the table. The gap between Rovers and safety is six points despite winning their last two league games at Shrewsbury and at Accrington on Saturday where they won 2-1. It was the third successive league game in which both Tranmere and their opponents scored while Blackpool were held to a 0-0 draw in their local derby at Fleetwood. Before that, Blackpool’s last two home games resulted in 2-1 wins for the Tangerines who took full points at home to Bolton and Ipswich.

The good news for Rovers is that they have two games in hand on their nearest rivals AFC Wimbledon, but that is only good news if they go on to win both which will move them level on points with the Dons. The first of those two games in hand is against Blackpool who have little to play for this season. SportPesa are offering odds of 10/13 for both teams to score in this fixture which is what happened in the first meeting this season when the two sides played out a 1-1 draw when Ben Heneghan gave Blackpool a ninth minute lead before Morgan Ferrier levelled two minutes before half-time. A score draw is trading at 16/5 while the home side are 23/10 to win with at least one goal for Tranmere who are 31/4 to win with BTTS paying out. 

One of the stand-out ties in the last 16 of the Europa League is Roma’s tie with Sevilla. Roma are well off the pace in Serie A and they go into this tie currently fifth, 18 points behind leaders Juventus while in La Liga, Sevilla have their work cut out to overturn an 11-point deficit that stands between them and Barcelona at the top of the table. Sevilla are unbeaten in their last six league and cup games and includes their 2-2 draw at Atletico Madrid on Saturday which saw all the scoring happen in the first half. Sevilla opened the scoring in the 19th minute before the home side turned the game on its head with two goals in four minutes through Alvaro Morata’s penalty and Joao Felix’s strike.

Lucas Ocampos’s penalty two minutes before the interval earned Sevilla a point. It was Sevilla’s second successive match in which BTTS has paid out. Roma’s last two matches have also seen BTTS land with a 4-3 win at Cagliari following their 1-1 draw at Gent that saw them through this round of the Europa League. SportPesa are offering odds of 10/11 for both Sevilla and Roma to score in this first leg while a score draw is trading at 3/1. Roma are 23/4 to win with at least one goal for the home side who are 29/10 to win with BTTS occurring. 

Over 2.5 goals: Carlisle v Newport, Wolfsburg v Shakhtar Donetsk, E Frankfurt v Basel

Carlisle (7/4) will think they have just about done enough to stay in the Football League which should take the pressure off them ahead of this midweek game with Newport (33/20). Carlisle are 20th in the table, but they are 17 points clear of Stevenage at the foot of the table. Newport have played the fewest league games of any side in the division with two games in hand on some of the teams above them in League Two. Carlisle’s 3-0 defeat at home to Colchester was their third League Two game in a row where there were three or more goals scored. It followed a 2-2 draw at home to Morecambe and a 2-1 win at Cambridge.

Newport’s 1-0 home win against Morecambe ended a run of three successive matches in which a minimum of three match goals were scored. Those three matches before Saturday’s victory produced a total of 14 goals. The corresponding fixture last season produced five goals as Carlisle won 3-2 thanks to Danny Grainger’s injury time winner after they saw a 2-0 lead cancelled out. SportPesa are offering odds of 13/10 for this game to produce a minimum of three goals while both teams to score and combine for over 2.5 goals is available at 33/20. Carlisle are 4/1 to win with three or more total goals scored while the visitors are 15/4 to win with three or more goals netted at Brunton Park. 

In the Europa League, Wolfsburg (11/10) host Shakhtar Donestsk (51/20) with the German side aiming to extend their unbeaten run in all competitions to nine games. Their last defeat came at home to Hertha Berlin on January 25 when they were beaten 2-1. The 0-0 draw against high-flying RB Leipzig at the Volkswagen Arena on Saturday brought an end to a run of five successive games in which three or more goals were scored. Wolfsburg are seventh in the Bundesliga, 19 points behind leaders and defending champions Bayern Munich.

Shakhtar have been involved in some high-scoring games recently with Sunday’s 4-3 win at Kolos Kovalivka the third match in their last four in which at least three goals were scored. In European ties, Shakhtar’s last three matches have produced over 2.5 goals while Wolfsburg’s last two European ties have seen three or more goals scored. Sport Pesa are offering odds of 1/1 for this first leg tie to produce over 2.5 goals while BTTS and three or more goals is available at 13/10. Wolfsburg are 23/10 to win with a minimum of three goals while the Ukrainian side are 19/4 to win with over 2.5 goals scored. Wolfsburg are 23/20 to qualify for the next round while Shakhtar are 20/29 to make it through to the next round.

Another Bundesliga side in action in the Europa League are Eintracht Frankfurt (10/17) who welcome Basel (17/4) to the Commerzbank Arena. Frankfurt’s preparations for this tie did not go as they would have planned as they were beaten 4-0 at Bayer Leverkusen on Saturday after conceding twice in the opening 14 minutes. It was the seventh match in Frankfurt’s last eight league and cup games in which three or more goals has paid out. Two of Basel’s last three games in all competitions have produced a minimum of three total goals including their 2-2 draw at home to Servette in their last league game. In their last European tie away from home, Basel beat Apoel Nicosia 3-0 before finishing the job off with a 1-0 home win.

Frankfurt started their European adventure in the qualifiers on July 25 and goals have been a common feature in the majority of their Europa League ties. Of the 14 games they have played in Europe this season, 11 (78.6 per cent) of them have seen three or more goals scored and includes the last six. SportPesa are offering odds of 5/7 for this tie to produce a minimum of three goals while both teams to score and combine for over 2.5 goals is trading at 11/10. Frankfurt are 5/4 to win this first leg with three or more goals scored while the away side are 29/4 to win with a minimum of 2.5 goals. 

A £10 bet on the BTTS accumulator has potential returns of £47.50

A £10 bet on the over 2.5 gals accumulator has potential returns of £80.50

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