Storm Ciara did her best to disrupt some of the fixtures last weekend, but it is hoped all 35 EFL fixtures scheduled to be played on Tuesday and Wednesday go ahead. Which matches are most likely to see BTTS land and which could see three or more goals scored? Charlie Mullan has done the homework for you and using recent trends and historic data, he has picked three matches each where BTTS and over 2.5 goals might land.
ALL SPORTPESA FOOTBALL ODDS CAN BE FOUND HERE
BTTS: Barnsley v Birmingham, Crewe v Crawley, Morecambe v Macclesfield
In the last 12 Championship games Barnsley (6/4) has played at Oakwell, both the Tykes and their opponents have scored in 11 of them. And that includes Saturday’s 1-1 draw against Sheffield Wednesday where they came from a goal down to rescue a point. Cauley Woodrow’s 24th minute goal cancelled out Josh Windass’ opener on his Owls debut on loan from Wigan. Birmingham (37/20) also fell a goal behind at the weekend on their trip to Bristol City who took the lead when James Paterson scored in the first minute, but the Blues rallied to restore parity in the 23rd minute through Scott Hogan. An Andreas Weimann own goal gave Birmingham a 2-1 lead at the break and they had to wait until the final minute to score their third goal at Ashton Gate. It was the eighth successive Championship game in which BTTS has landed in games involving Birmingham.
With those stats in mind, SportPesa are offering odds of 20/33 for both Barnsley and Birmingham to find the net at Oakwell. A score draw is trading at 29/10 while the Tykes are 33/10 to win with at least one goal for Birmingham who are 7/2 to win with BTTS landing. A win for Barnsley won’t be enough to see them climb away from 23rd in the table, but it would lift confident in the camp that they could escape the relegation battle they find themselves in. Birmingham, who look set to finish in mid-table, find themselves 10 points off the play-off places and 11 points from the drop zone.
The best midweek match-up for BTTS to land could be the meeting between Crawley (7/2) and Crewe (20/29) at Alexandra Stadium. The reason I say that is because of the frequency BTTS has landed in recent games involving both sides. Crewe’s 2-1 home win over Oldham on Saturday was the 13th time in their last 15 league and cup games in which it has occurred. Alexandra had to do things the hard way recovering from conceding the game’s first goal in the early stages of the second half. But James Jones equalised for Crewe before team-mate Charlie Kirk scored the winner in the final minute. Crawley may have been held to a goalless draw on Saturday at Salford, but their recent form suggests that was a one-off in terms of BTTS landing.
Before Saturday’s trip to the Peninsula Stadium, Crawley’s previous eight League Two games had seen goals for both them and the team they have been playing. And for good measure, the first meeting this season saw goals for both sides as Crewe won 2-1 at the Broadfield Stadium coming from a goal down to do so. In fact, three of the last four meetings have seen BTTS land and SportPesa are offering odds of 20/29 for it to happen in this fixture. A score draw is trading at 33/10 while Crewe are 21/10 to win with at least one goal for Crawley who are 39/20 to win and BTTS landing.
Tensions will be high at the Globe Arena in a proper relegation dogfight between Morecambe (11/10) and Macclesfield (51/20). Morecambe, currently 23rd in League Two and in severe danger of dropping out of the Football League, could climb above their visitors with a win. However, Macclesfield do have a game in hand on their opponents which could turn out to be crucial later in the season. If Macclesfield are to ease their relegation fears, they are going to have to do something they haven’t done since October 19 and that is win a league game away from home. That was when they beat Oldham 1-0. It’s nine games and counting in which they have failed to win on the road and that includes Saturday’s 1-1 draw at Leyton Orient when Jacob Blyth rescued a point for the Silkmen in the last minute.
Morecambe’s home game with fellow relegation battlers Mansfield also finished in a 1-1 draw when it was Alex Kenyon who scored a late equaliser five minutes from time. Four of the last six meetings have seen goals for both sides and SportPesa are offering odds of 10/11 for it to happen in this week’s fixture. A score draw is trading at 33/10 while the home side are 33/10 to win with at least one goal for Macclesfield who are 11/5 to win and BTTS landing.
Over 2.5 goals: Doncaster v Bolton, Salford v Plymouth, Scunthorpe v Cambridge
Bolton (6/1) are running out of time to preserve their status as a League One side and a trip to Doncaster (10/23) is the latest challenge facing the Trotters who sit bottom of the table, 17 points from safety. It looks like they are going down and their philosophy between now and the end of the season might as well be to go for it in every game and see where it takes them. Bolton’s fate was sealed before the season got under way when they were handed a 12-point deduction for financial problems. But at least they remain in business unless their neighbours Bury. Doncaster are looking to leave League One the other way, by winning promotion to the Championship. Rovers are currently eighth, three points behind sixth-placed Sunderland.
On Saturday, Bolton went down 2-1 at Coventry after conceding the opening goal in the third minute. Dennis Politic’s equaliser looked to have earned Wanderers a point but Maxime Biamou struck in injury time to seal the win for the Sky Blues. The last time Bolton played on a Tuesday following a Saturday game, they were beaten 5-1 at Lincoln which suggests they may again struggle to back up playing second game in quick succession. Three of Doncaster’s last four league games have seen a minimum of three goals scored and their last two league games played on a Tuesday night have seen over 2.5 total goals scored. Four of the last five meetings between Bolton and Doncaster have seen over 2.5 goals scored and SportPesa are offering odds of 10/13 for this fixture to have three or more goals scored. Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals is trading at 13/10 while Doncaster are 11/10 to win with three or more goals netted while the visitors are 11/1 to win with over 2.5 goals landing.
Plymouth (17/10) saw their six-game unbeaten run come to an end at Colchester where they were beaten 3-0 with all three goals coming in the opening 36 minutes. It was Plymouth’s fourth successive away league game in which three or more goals had been scored. The defeat saw Plymouth lose ground at the top of League Two with Exeter and Crewe both picking up wins at the weekend. Ryan Lowe’s side go into this game fourth in the table and a trip to the Peninsula Stadium to face a Salford (31/20) side unbeaten in six, will be seen as a tricky midweek fixture. Given Salford’s rapid rise up the divisions from non-league football, the two sides have only met once before and that was on August 20 when they shared four goals in a 2-2 draw at Home Farm.
Salford led twice in that fixture and thought they had the points wrapped up when Ibou Touray gave them a 2-1 lead with 11 minutes to play. But a Dom Telford penalty in the 89th minute meant both sides had to settle for a point. Plymouth’s loss at Colchester was the eighth time in their last nine games in which over 2.5 goals has landed and SportPesa are offering odds of 20/21 for this game to have a minimum of three goals scored while BTTS and over 2.5 goals is available at 6/5. Salford are 3/1 to win with over 2.5 total goals while the visitors are also 3/1 to win with three or more total goals scored.
Scunthorpe (1/1) gave Russ Wilcox his first win in his latest spell in charge of the club when the Iron won 1-0 at home to Cheltenham on Saturday which brought an end to a run of eight successive league and cup games in which three or more goals were scored. The win helped eased relegation fears that have been lingering around Glanford Park this season although nobody will be breathing a sigh of relief just yet with the gap between them and basement side Stevenage standing at 14 points. A win against Cambridge will see them leapfrog their opponents in the table.
After going six league games without a win Cambridge (57/20) have won their last two games including Saturday’s 1-0 win at Newport. Despite the fact both sides won by the slimmest of margins at the weekend, there is something about midweek games that brings goals to games involving these two sides. This will be Scunthorpe’s fifth league game to be played on a Tuesday night this season and the previous four have produced three, four, four and five match goals. Cambridge have seen over 2.5 goals land in three of their four league games played on a Tuesday this season and that includes a five-goal thriller between the two sides in August when 10-man Scunthorpe led 1-0 at half-time before two goals from Paul Lewis helped the U’s to a 3-2 win. SportPesa are offering odds of 20/23 for this game to have three or more goals scored while BTTS and over 2.5 goals is on the market at 23/20. Scunthorpe are 2/1 to win with three or more total goals scored while the visitors are 5/1 to return to Cambridge with the three points in a game with three or more goals scored.
A £10 bet on the BTTS accumulator has potential returns of £54.28
A £10 bet on the over 2/5 goals accumulator has potential returns of £67.72